Top 10 country risks to watch in 2018

March 26, 2018

Want to know the 10 global risks to keep in mind? Read on.

Is the world in fact a riskier place? Many believe so, and our team here at EDC often debates the issue. Daily we are inundated with negative news ranging from impending trade wars to yet another climate-change-driven natural disaster. How are we to make sense of it all?

The go-to indicator for many investors has often been the VIX index, which measures market expectations of near-term volatility. Its latest reading is up 19 per cent from this time last year. Other traditional volatility measures, such as gold prices, have not shown large movements. However, many of the risks presented below, while still considered tail risks (low probability/high impact), are increasing in likelihood and could well become base case scenarios.

This was excerpted from a 22 March 2018 commentary by Ian Tobman of EDC.


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